Thinking about your odds is something that occurs quite frequently throughout your premed year. There’s no exact answer to how good your shot is at getting into medical school but there are few resources that might help you get a good idea of where you stand.
That being said you won’t have any chance if you give up. Stats are stats and they can’t tell you for sure what will happen so never give up!
Justin the Tutor’s Estimate
This is a free resource provided by Justin the Tutor. It’s pretty self-explanatory but does come with a disclaimer.
“The “chances” represented by this table have been from independent observation of approximately 400 students since 2011 to 2017. It may not represent the true chances in reality and should only be used as a general guide.”
This is a estimate for GENERAL ADMISSION into medical school. If you are part of MAPAS or rural these estimates won’t be representitive.
FYI.org.nz Information Requests
These stats come directly from the University of Auckland regarding medical admission. and contain the following information:
For 2019 entry and therfore the cohort that did premed in 2018:
- Number of General seats available each year
- Number of General seats filled each year (how many FY and how many graduates)
- Number of General applicants (how many FY and how many graduates)
- Lowest GPA for successful General applicants (for both FY and graduate)
- Lower Quartile GPA for successful General applicants (for both FY and graduate)
- Median GPA for successful General applicants (for both FY and graduate)
- Upper Quartile GPA for successful General applicants (for both FY and graduate)
- Highest GPA for unsuccessful General applicants (for both FY and graduate)
For 2018 entry and therefore the cohort that did premed in 2017:
- number of general first year seats available
- number of first year general applicants
- lowest GPA for successful applicants
- highest GPA for unsuccessful applicants
- interview GPA cut-off
- lowest raw UMAT score for successful applicamts
- highest raw UMAT score for unsuccessful applicants
If you’d like to look at 2014-2017 entry
- number of general places
- number of general applicants
- lowest successful GPA
- highest unsuccessful GPA
- interview GPA cut-off
Hopefully these stats helped answer your questions but please, please DON’T give up!
One thing that not many people realise about premed is that the students who do well aren’t always super smart; they are students who are determined, disiplined and driven.
Pink Scrubs in Progress 